Visa and Mastercard Are Phenomenal, but Is This a Better Warren Buffett Stock to Buy Right Now? The Motley Fool

Visa operates in over 200 countries and processes transactions in over 160 currencies. Its systems are capable of processing over 65,000 transactions per second. I project Visa’s EBITDA margins to increase incrementally up to 69.1%, which is in line with the company’s all-time highs. This projection how to choose the best architecture for your web application results in EBITDA growth slightly above revenue growth, which is based on my assumption Visa will benefit from operational leverage. I find my EBITDA projection very conservative, as just last quarter we saw a higher margin when adjusting for non-recurring legal and Russia-related expenses.

  1. During the last three months of 2023, Visa and Mastercard’s operating margins came in at 69% and 52%, respectively.
  2. And while shareholders wait for the market to award Visa with a higher valuation multiple, they can collect a safe and fast-growing 0.8% dividend yield.
  3. The company operates as a member of an oligopoly, and it is the 500 pound gorilla of the group.

On November 27, 2013, V.me went live in the UK, France, Spain and Poland, with Nationwide Building Society being the first financial institution in Britain to support it,[140] although Nationwide subsequently withdrew this service in 2016. Thanks to their enormous two-sided payments https://www.forexbox.info/best-stocks-to-day-trade-how-to-choose-stocks-for/ platforms that merchants and consumers have heavily adopted globally, both companies benefit from powerful network effects. Consequently, their competitive positions are virtually unassailable. Its full-year operating cash flows in fiscal 2016 are expected to be $7 billion.

The strong US dollar could impact Visa’s revenue growth by 3% in fiscal 2016. Currently, the company is trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30x. Considering the high growth and low exchange volatility expected in the upcoming quarters, the stock could offer attractive returns to investors in the long term. Visa’s (V) stock has risen 11% over the past 12 months as a result of strong growth in volumes and the addition of new clients in 2Q17. The company is gaining ground through more partnerships and co-branded cards, but the market is expected to be more competitive on the pricing front as companies cut costs.

Visa Contactless (Visa payWave)

Visa probably has the best business model in the market, with 97.5% gross margins, and almost zero duplication costs. Even after many years of double-digit growth, there’s no sign of slowing down. Visa still has huge opportunities with its core business, new flows, and value-added services. However, at the time of writing, Visa is trading at a forward P/E of 27.5, which is 15.0% below its 5-year average. I estimate its fair value at $274.0 per share, reflecting a 21.2% upside.

The size of Visa’s merchant network, and the infrastructure required to replicate the company’s offerings would require enormous resources. The cross-border segment accounted for 34% of the firm’s revenue in 2019 and 29% in 2020. The problem is tourism and travel industries have a long road to recovery.. Nonetheless, net revenue fell 17% YoY in Q4, and FY net revenues were down 5% versus 2019. The primary negative in the results was cross-border volume dropping 29% YoY for the quarter and 16% for FY20 compared to FY19.

Companies like Adobe (ADBE) are the embodiment of SaaS, with its 87.7% gross margins in 2022. In short, I believe the market is underrating Visa’s growth trajectory, and disregards its much better margins. There’s no sign to suggest that the 10-percentage-point gap between the companies’ EBIT margins is narrowing, and if we look at the past 6 years, Mastercard isn’t outgrowing Visa in terms of revenue and volumes to a material extent.

A business with low bankruptcy risk

With the escalation of ecommerce and contactless payments accelerating due to the COVID crisis, and successful initiatives by management to expand overseas, the growth runway for Visa is lengthy. Visa trading refers to a situation where a migrant is sponsored for a specific work or position. Upon arrival in the destination country, the migrant worker performs https://www.forex-world.net/currency-pairs/nzd-sgd/ a substantially different job. This is because the sponsor has unofficially “traded” or “sold” the worker’s visa to another sponsor, whom the worker now answers to informally. In some instances, this happens because the sponsor has no intention at all to really provide the intended and rightful job to the migrant worker as intended in the visa.

And that’s historically proven to be the case because once people get used to, let’s say, a digital form of payment because they use Pix or RuPay in India, UPI in India, they get used to digital payments. That means they use digital payments for lots of things when it comes to higher-value payments, and they often come to us. Historically, when it comes to Visa and Mastercard, we’ve seen worries about competition come and go, with the likes of PayPal (PYPL), Apple Pay (AAPL), or the popularization of Buy-Now-Pay-Later.

Trademark and design

The company disaggregates its revenues into four categories – Data Processing, Service, International Transaction, and Other. According to a study conducted by Allied Market Research, the worldwide mobile payment market is set to grow from $1.48 trillion in 2019 to $12.06 trillion in 2027, a CAGR of 30.1%. With billions of phones around the world at the ready, the opportunity that comes with lighting them up as payment acceptance devices is enormous. Visa Tap to Phone could be one of the most profound ways to reinvent the physical shopping experience. A study by ACI Worldwide determined eCommerce transactions in the retail sector surged 31% last December versus the same month in 2019.

Its vast network of users and merchants results in a competitive advantage that cannot be easily surmounted. The company has taken a number of steps to adopt the contactless system of payments, thereby assuring that it will not fall victim to the prevailing macrotrends. Visa’s trailing annual dividend yield of just under 0.7% is higher than its 13-year median yield slightly above 0.6%, which indicates that the stock could be an attractive buy for growth-oriented investors. And while shareholders wait for the market to award Visa with a higher valuation multiple, they can collect a safe and fast-growing 0.8% dividend yield. Payment-processing stock Visa (V -2.28%) put investors on notice in late-October when it declared a 17.2% increase in its quarterly dividend from $0.32 to $0.375 per share. Let’s take a look at a few reasons why Visa’s board of directors were comfortable enough to authorize a huge dividend increase, as well as whether the stock is a buy at its current valuation.

High swipe fees in Poland

Amex makes more money from every transaction that runs across its system. The only cost Visa incurs per additional transaction is aggregated under its ‘Network and processing’ expenses. In 2022, these expenses amounted to $743M, which is 2.5% of Visa’s net revenues. By the way, thanks to its different accounting principles, Mastercard reports a 100.0% gross margin. In existing consumer payments, growth will be enabled by the ever-increasing convenience to transact with cards, as innovations like tap-to-pay, tokenization, and click-to-pay, continue to gain traction. However, 85% of global transactions still use cash as a form of payment.

The suit says that this price-fixing artificially raises the price that consumers pay using ATMs, limits the revenue that ATM-operators earn, and violates the Sherman Act’s prohibition against unreasonable restraints of trade. Visa’s net revenue increased 10.3% year over year to $24.11 billion in FY ’21, which was driven by across-the-board increases in its business. For one, payments volumes — the dollar amount of transactions processed by the company — grew by 16% year over year during the fiscal year. Secondly, total cross-border volumes — or volumes where the issuing country is different from the merchant country — climbed 9% over the previous fiscal year. Finally, Visa’s processed transactions – the total number of transactions processed by the business — surged 17% higher year over year. Visa’s strategy is to accelerate its revenue growth through increased volumes of existing consumer payments, new flows as electronic payments take share from cash and checks, and value-added services.

At its current price, Visa is trading at an 11% discount compared to Mastercard based on their P/E ratios, which I find unjustified. That’s because the stock’s operating results showed considerable momentum at the end of last fiscal year heading into this fiscal year. For instance, Visa’s payments volumes, total cross-border volumes, and processed transactions were all higher in its fiscal fourth quarter than they were for the full-year. This suggests that with increasing COVID vaccination rates and more effective treatment options available to medical providers and patients, consumers are traveling and spending more, helping to accelerate Visa’s growth potential even further.

In 2011, MasterCard and Visa were sued in a class action by ATM operators claiming the credit card networks’ rules effectively fix ATM access fees.[88] The suit claimed that this is a restraint on trade in violation of US federal law. The lawsuit was filed by the National ATM Council and independent operators of automated teller machines. More specifically, it is alleged that MasterCard’s and Visa’s network rules prohibit ATM operators from offering lower prices for transactions over PIN-debit networks that are not affiliated with Visa or MasterCard.

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